Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)
Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2022-2031)
The 2022 COPS exercise was developed using the 2016 version of the National Occupational Classification (NOC). The 2016 NOC has 500 occupations. However, many of these occupations are small in terms of employment. Such occupations were combined into broader groupings according to the specific tasks of each occupation. By grouping small occupations with similar tasks together, 293 occupational groupings were obtained. Although NOC already has a more recent version (2021), the model’s input data were only available in the 2016 version of the NOC at the time of the development of the projections.
For more information on the 293 occupational grouping used in COPS, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition.
Search Result : Instructors of persons with disabilities (4215)
- Occupational Outlook
- SHORTAGE: This occupational group is expected to face labour shortage conditions over the period of 2022-2031 at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
- Occupations in this Group
-
- Instructors of persons with disabilities (4215)
- Skill Type
- Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services
- Skill Level
- Occupations usually require college or vocational education or apprenticeship training.
- Employment in 2021
- 7,500
- Median Age of workers in 2021
- 40.4 years old
- Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2021
- 63 years old
In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2022-2031) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2022-2031. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions. It is important to note that COPS does not identify imbalances that may temporarily appear during specific years, unless they will persist over the longer run.
Over the 2019-2021 period, employment growth in this occupational group was well above the average for all occupations. The unemployment rate increased over the same period above its historical average but remained slightly below the national average. Although the number of unemployed workers per job vacancy was below the average for all occupations, the strong employment growth suggests that a lack of available workers did not restrict hiring in this occupation. Hence, analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill all job openings in this occupational group.Over the period 2022-2031, the number of job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) for Instructors of persons with disabilities are expected to total 2,000, while the number of job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) is expected to total 1,600.
Although this occupational group has had a balanced market in recent years, projected job openings are substantially higher than projected job seekers, creating a shortage of workers over the 2022-2031 period. Approximately 40% of job openings are projected to arise from each of expansion demand and retirements. Job creation is expected to be in line with the national average over the projection period. Employment growth in this occupation depends primarily on the demand for remedial services for people with mental, physical, visual, or hearing impairments. The number of individuals in need of special education is expected to grow over the projection period, notably due to population ageing, as activities to improve the quality of life and increase the autonomy of seniors will be even more relevant; however, demand is anticipated to be limited by the budget constraints that many governments are facing. The retirement rate is anticipated to be below the national average, as workers in this occupational group tend to be younger than in other occupations.
With regard to labour supply, school leavers are expected to account for more than 80% of job seekers, while immigration should account for the remainder of those seeking jobs. Following historical patterns, a large number of workers are expected to seek employment in other occupations, looking for better work conditions. Indeed, the work situation in this occupational group is often unstable early in the career, including part-time and temporary positions as well as requiring long periods of availability (evenings and weekends). These workers will be attracted to occupations with similar educational backgrounds, such as elementary and secondary school teacher assistants.
Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2022-2031
| Level | Share | |
|---|---|---|
| Expansion Demand: | 700 | 35% |
| Retirements: | 800 | 40% |
| Other Replacement Demand: | 200 | 10% |
| Emigration: | 200 | 10% |
| Projected Job Openings: | 2,000 | 100% |
| Level | Share | |
|---|---|---|
| School Leavers: | 2,300 | 144% |
| Immigration: | 400 | 25% |
| Other: | -1,100 | -69% |
| Projected Job Seekers: | 1,600 | 100% |