Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2019-2028)

The current COPS projections were completed in 2019, well before the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak that resulted in exceptional and abrupt economic and labour market disruptions in Canada as well as abroad. However, the focus of the COPS projections is on long-term trends in occupational labour markets, not on short-term developments. At the moment, these long-term trends are not expected to be affected markedly by the COVID-19 outbreak as its impacts are generally foreseen to be temporary.

Note: The projections were developed for 293 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition. For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.

Search Result : Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations & Conductors, composers and arrangers (5131)

Occupational Outlook
BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2019-2028 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Occupations in this Group
  • Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations (5131)
  • Conductors, composers and arrangers (5132)
Skill Type
Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport
Skill Level
Occupations usually require university education.
Employment in 2018
Median Age of workers in 2018
42.7 years old
Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2018
67 years old

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2019-2028) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2019-2028. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2016-2018 period, employment in this occupational group grew strongly. The unemployment rate increased slightly to reach 4.1% in 2018, below the national average of 5.8%. However, the unemployment rate for this occupation has been historically below the average of all occupations, mainly because about 60% of the workers are self-employed. The increase in the number of unemployed workers, coupled with a low and stable number of job openings, led to a surge in the number of available workers to fill those vacancies. The mixed signals of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group.

Over the period 2019-2028, the number of job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) for Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations & Conductors, composers and arrangers are expected to total 11,300, while the number of job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) is expected to total 11,500 .

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2019-2028 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. About half of job openings are expected to result from retirements. The retirement rate is notably lower than the average for all occupations as workers in this occupational group typically retire substantially later in their career relative to workers in other occupations. New jobs are expected to account for almost a third of the demand, on par with the employment growth observed during the 2009-2018 period. Job creation in this occupational group largely depends on the growth of consumer spending in the recreational sector, specifically movies and TV shows. Over the projection period, employment growth is thus expected to be stimulated by the higher demand for recreational services coming from an aging population. The increased popularity of watching video on mobile devices will also lead to growth in the Canadian online entertainment media industries, stimulating work opportunities for these workers. Additionally, the growth in the motion picture industry, notably from the increased production of American movies in Canada, will further strengthen demand in these occupations. With regard to labour supply, school leavers are expected to account for the vast majority of job seekers. This occupational group is popular among school leavers due to the artistic nature of the tasks in some of these jobs. On the other hand, only a small number of immigrants are projected to search for jobs in this occupation. Finally, many workers will look for jobs in other occupations, notably for career advancement as managers - publishing, motion pictures, broadcasting and performing arts.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2019-2028

This table contains data related to Projected Job Openings.
Level Share
Expansion Demand: 3,900 35%
Retirements: 5,500 49%
Other Replacement Demand: 1,200 11%
Emigration: 800 7%
Projected Job Openings: 11,300 100%
This table contains data related to Projected Job Seekers.
Level Share
School Leavers: 12,300 107%
Immigration: 1,700 15%
Other: -2,600 -23%
Projected Job Seekers: 11,500 100%
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