Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)
Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)
Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition. For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.
Search Result : Registered nurses and registered psychiatric nurses (3012)
- Occupational Outlook
- Occupations in this Group
- Registered nurses and registered psychiatric nurses (3012)
- Skill Type
- Health occupations
- Skill Level
- Occupations usually require university education.
- Employment in 2016
- Median Age of workers in 2016
- 41.6 years old
- Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
- 62 years old
In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.
Over the 2014-2016 period, employment in this occupational group increased at a similar pace than the average for all occupation. The average hourly wage stayed relatively stable during this period, yet it is dictated by collective agreements with the provincial governments. The unemployment rate remained very low and stable at 1.8% in 2016, limiting employment growth opportunities due to the lack of available workers. Hence, analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill all job openings in this occupational group.
For Registered nurses and registered psychiatric nurses, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 157,100, while 143,900 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.
The labour shortage conditions seen in recent years is expected to persist into the 2017-2026 period, and could even become more acute as the projected number of job openings is expected to be substantially larger than the projected number of job seekers over that period. Job openings are projected to arise from both expansion demand and retirements. Employment growth is expected to be among the highest of all occupations, accounting for more than 40% of all job openings. As the Canadian population ages, the demand for health services and consequently the need for health care professionals are projected to increase. Moreover, the commitment made by some provinces to reduce wait times in emergencies, for treatments and for surgery is expected to contribute to the increase of labour demand for workers in this occupation. Also, nurses who have received the proper training are now allowed to complete tasks that they were previously not authorized to do, such as using a collective prescription to adjust medications, initiating diagnostic and therapeutic measures as well as prescribing contraceptives. Otherwise, retirements are projected to account for about 50% of job openings. Pressures resulting from these departures are expected to be at par with the national average as workers in this occupational grouping have a similar age structure than in other occupations. With regard to labour supply, school leavers are projected to represent the vast majority of job seekers. A significant number of workers are expected to join this occupation, notably licensed practical nurses with the proper training or experience, representing about 16% of all job seekers. Finally, immigration is expected to account for 14% of all new workers in this occupation.
Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026
|Other Replacement Demand:||7,400||5%|
|Projected Job Openings:||157,100||100%|
|Projected Job Seekers:||143,900||100%|