Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)
Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)
Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition. For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.
Search Result : Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations & Conductors, composers and arrangers (5131)
- Occupational Outlook
- Occupations in this Group
- Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations (5131)
- Conductors, composers and arrangers (5132)
- Skill Type
- Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport
- Skill Level
- Occupations usually require university education.
- Employment in 2016
- Median Age of workers in 2016
- 42.3 years old
- Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
- 66 years old
In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.
Over the 2014-2016 period, employment in this occupational group stayed relatively stable. The unemployment rate increased to 2.9% in 2016, below the national average of 7.0%. On the other hand, the average hourly wage was decreasing over the same period. The mixed signals of key labour market indicators required the analysis of additional indicators, which suggested that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.
For Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations & Conductors, composers and arrangers, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 9,400, while 9,500 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.
As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, it is expected that the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years will continue over the projection period. More than half of job openings are expected to result from retirements, even though the retirement rate is projected to be much lower than the average for all occupations as workers in these occupations typically retire later in their career relative to other occupations. New jobs are also expected to account for almost a third of the demand, on par with the employment growth observed during the 2007-2016 period. Job creation in this occupational group largely depends on the growth of consumer spending in the recreational sector, specifically movies and TV shows. Over the projection period, employment growth is thus expected to be stimulated by the higher demand for recreational services coming from an aging population. The increased popularity of watching TV on mobile devices and online will also lead to growth in the Canadian online entertainment media industries and thus more work opportunities for these workers. Additionally, the growth in the motion picture industry, notably from the increased production of American movies in Canada, will further strengthen demand in these occupations. With regard to labour supply, school leavers are expected to account for the vast majority of job seekers. This occupational group is popular among school leavers due to the artistic nature of the tasks in some of these jobs. However, only a small number of immigrants are projected to search for jobs in this occupation. Finally, many workers will look for jobs in other occupations, notably for career advancement as managers - publishing, motion pictures, broadcasting and performing arts.
Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026
|Other Replacement Demand:||1,000||11%|
|Projected Job Openings:||9,400||100%|
|Projected Job Seekers:||9,500||100%|