Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2015-2024)

Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2011 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition.  For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.

Search Result : Retail and wholesale trade managers (0621)

Occupational Outlook
BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2015-2024 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Occupations in this Group
  • Retail and wholesale trade managers (0621)
Skill Type
Management occupations
Skill Level
Management occupations
Employment in 2014
343,600
Median Age of workers in 2014
45.5 years old
Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2014
62 years old

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2015-2024) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2015-2024. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

The analysis of key labour market indicators such as employment and wage growth as well as the unemployment rate suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2012-2014 period.

For Retail and wholesale trade managers, over the period 2015-2024, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 104,100, while 93,200 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2015-2024 period, it is expected that the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years will continue over the projection period. A more detailed analysis of the outlook of this occupation will be released in the coming weeks.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2015-2024

This table contains data related to Projected Job Openings.
Level Share
Expansion Demand: -21,200 -20%
Retirements: 108,500 104%
Other Replacement Demand: 12,200 12%
Emigration: 4,700 5%
Projected Job Openings: 104,100 100%
This table contains data related to Projected Job Seekers.
Level Share
School Leavers: 48,000 52%
Immigration: 22,100 24%
Other: 23,100 25%
Projected Job Seekers: 93,200 100%
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