Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)

Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition.  For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.

Search Result : Plumbers (7251)

Occupational Outlook
BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2017-2026 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Occupations in this Group
  • Plumbers (7251)
Skill Type
Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations
Skill Level
Occupations usually require college or vocational education or apprenticeship training.
Employment in 2016
47,900
Median Age of workers in 2016
36.3 years old
Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
65 years old

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

The analysis of key labour market indicators such as employment and wage growth as well as the unemployment rate suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.

For Plumbers, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 13,900, while 14,900 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. A more detailed analysis of the outlook of this occupation will be released in the coming weeks.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026

This table contains data related to Projected Job Openings.
Level Share
Expansion Demand: 7,300 53%
Retirements: 4,900 35%
Other Replacement Demand: 800 6%
Emigration: 900 6%
Projected Job Openings: 13,900 100%
This table contains data related to Projected Job Seekers.
Level Share
School Leavers: 23,200 156%
Immigration: 2,400 16%
Other: -10,700 -72%
Projected Job Seekers: 14,900 100%
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