Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)

Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition.  For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.

Search Result : Human resources professionals (1121)

Occupational Outlook
BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2017-2026 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Occupations in this Group
  • Human resources professionals (1121)
Skill Type
Business, finance and administration occupations
Skill Level
Occupations usually require university education.
Employment in 2016
Median Age of workers in 2016
43 years old
Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
64 years old

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2014-2016 period, employment in this occupational group increased at a higher rate than the average for all occupations. However, the unemployment rate also rose to 3.9% in 2016, which remained below the national average of 7.0%. Yet, the average hourly wage increased at a rate similar to the average for the economy. Hence, analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.

For Human resources professionals, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 45,400, while 46,600 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. Job openings are projected to mainly arise from expansion demand. Indeed, employment growth is expected to be much higher than the average for all occupations. The importance of human resources professionals has been on the rise for some time now due to several factors, such as the emergence of the knowledge economy and the need to improve productivity. These factors have forced companies to pay a great deal of attention to improving hiring strategies and training programs, as well as eliminating inefficiencies within the work organization. Additionally, population aging will require employers to hire many new employees to replace retiring workers. However, over the projection period, fewer new job openings are projected for all occupations than over the 2007-2016 period, due for instance to the increasing automatization of some tasks. This helps explain why employment growth in this occupational group will slow down over the coming years. For its part, the retirement rate is expected to be below the national average over the projection period, although more workers will retire than over the 2007-2016 period. With regard to labour supply, most job seekers are expected to come from the school system and other occupations, notably personnel and recruitment officers (NOC 1223) with a relevant university diploma. Only a small number of immigrants will seek employment in this occupation.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026

This table contains data related to Projected Job Openings.
Level Share
Expansion Demand: 22,700 50%
Retirements: 18,300 40%
Other Replacement Demand: 2,700 6%
Emigration: 1,700 4%
Projected Job Openings: 45,400 100%
This table contains data related to Projected Job Seekers.
Level Share
School Leavers: 32,400 70%
Immigration: 3,000 6%
Other: 11,200 24%
Projected Job Seekers: 46,600 100%
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