Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)
Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)
Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition. For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.
Search Result : Supervisors, library, correspondence and related information workers; Supervisors, mail and message distribution occupations & Supervisors, supply chain, tracking and scheduling co-ordination occupations (1213)
- Occupational Outlook
- Occupations in this Group
- Supervisors, library, correspondence and related information workers (1213)
- Supervisors, mail and message distribution occupations (1214)
- Supervisors, supply chain, tracking and scheduling co-ordination occupations (1215)
- Skill Type
- Business, finance and administration occupations
- Skill Level
- Occupations usually require college or vocational education or apprenticeship training.
- Employment in 2016
- Median Age of workers in 2016
- 43.6 years old
- Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
- 60 years old
In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.
Over the 2014-2016 period, employment in this occupational group increased at a faster pace than the average for all occupations. The unemployment rate stayed relatively stable at 4.9% in 2016, compared to the national average of 7.0%. The average hourly wage also increased, at a pace comparable to the average for all occupations. Hence, analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.
For Supervisors, library, correspondence and related information workers; Supervisors, mail and message distribution occupations & Supervisors, supply chain, tracking and scheduling co-ordination occupations, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 46,300, while 44,900 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.
As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. The majority of the job openings are projected to arise from retirements. The retirement rate is expected to be higher than the average for all occupations because workers are generally older than in other occupations and tend to retire earlier in their career. Employment growth is also expected to be higher than average, but the number of jobs created is expected to be significantly lower than over the 2007-2016 period. The strong growth is notably attributable to a high growth rate in imports and exports, as well as the relatively good economic outlook for the Canadian economy. These will support employment growth in these occupations as they are highly dependent on the amount of inter-business transactions in the economy. However, the greater reliance of businesses on third-party supply chain experts to handle these activities will limit this growth compared with the previous decade. This trend is explained by the increasing amount and complexity of regulation associated with merchandise transportation and the ever-growing importance of technology in improving the effectiveness and reducing the cost of supply chains. Workers in this occupation require many skills and a great deal of knowledge acquired on the job. As a consequence, most job seekers over the projection period are expected to come from other related occupations such as sales and account representatives - wholesale trade (NOC 6411). Still, school leavers should account for a little more than a third of all job seekers over the 2017-2026 period.
Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026
|Other Replacement Demand:||2,600||6%|
|Projected Job Openings:||46,300||100%|
|Projected Job Seekers:||44,900||100%|