Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)

Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition.  For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.

Search Result : Human resources and recruitment officers (1223)

Occupational Outlook
BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2017-2026 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Occupations in this Group
  • Human resources and recruitment officers (1223)
Skill Type
Business, finance and administration occupations
Skill Level
Occupations usually require college or vocational education or apprenticeship training.
Employment in 2016
37,000
Median Age of workers in 2016
38.7 years old
Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
61 years old

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2014-2016 period, employment in this occupational group increased more quickly than the average. However, the unemployment rate stayed mostly stable at 6.2% in 2016, below the national average of 7.0%. The average hourly wage increased at a faster rate than the average for all occupations. The mixed signals of key labour market indicators required the analysis of additional indicators, which concluded that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.

For Human resources and recruitment officers, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 12,900, while 13,500 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years is expected to continue over the projection period. Job openings are projected to arise from both retirements and expansion demand. The retirement rate for this occupation is expected to be lower than the average projected for all occupations over the 2017-2026 period. On the other hand, demand arising from economic growth is expected to be higher than the national average over the projection period. Population ageing and the high retirement rate for Canada over the projection period will increase the need for human resources and recruitment officers as these workers will have to be replaced and new workers will have to be hired and trained. The continued transition toward a knowledge-based economy will also create a need for additional training of workers over the projection period. Finally, increased international competition will require firms to increase productivity by, for instance, offering continuing education to their employees, contributing to employment growth in occupations related to human resources. However, the increasing reliance on technology, such as online recruitment processes and the computerization of some administrative tasks, is expected to temper employment growth. With regard to labour supply, the majority of job seekers are expected to come from the school system. On the other hand, a significant number of workers will leave this occupation over the projection period. Only a small number of new immigrants are expected to find employment in this occupational group.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026

This table contains data related to Projected Job Openings.
Level Share
Expansion Demand: 5,800 45%
Retirements: 5,800 45%
Other Replacement Demand: 700 5%
Emigration: 600 5%
Projected Job Openings: 12,900 100%
This table contains data related to Projected Job Seekers.
Level Share
School Leavers: 17,600 130%
Immigration: 2,600 19%
Other: -6,700 -50%
Projected Job Seekers: 13,500 100%
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