Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2017-2026)

Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2016 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition.  For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.

Search Result : Personnel clerks (1415)

Occupational Outlook
BALANCE: Labour demand and labour supply are expected to be broadly in line for this occupation group over the 2017-2026 period at the national level. The section below contains more detailed information regarding the outlook for this occupational group.
Occupations in this Group
  • Personnel clerks (1415)
  • Court clerks (1416)
Skill Type
Business, finance and administration occupations
Skill Level
Occupations usually require secondary school and/or occupation-specific training.
Employment in 2016
13,000
Median Age of workers in 2016
40.5 years old
Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2016
62 years old

In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2017-2026) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2017-2026. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.

Over the 2014-2016 period, this occupational group experienced a decline in employment. The unemployment rate stayed around 4.5% in 2016, below the national average of 7.0%. The average hourly wage of this occupation increased during this period. Hence, despite a decline in employment, analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2014-2016 period.

For Personnel clerks, over the period 2017-2026, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 4,000, while 3,900 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.

As job openings and job seekers are projected to be relatively similar over the 2017-2026 period, the balance between labour and supply seen in recent years are expected to continue over the projection period. Most job openings are projected to arise from retirements. The retirement rate for this occupational grouping is expected to be similar to the average retirement rate for all occupations over the projection period. Employment growth is also expected to be similar to the average for all occupations over the projection period, which will be in line with the recent trend in employment observed for this occupation. Computerization has led to productivity gains for workers in this occupational group, limiting employment growth over the last decades. This increase in productivity is projected to continue over the projection period, although at a lower pace. The majority of job seekers are projected to come directly from the school system. A sizeable number are expected to come from immigration. However, given the limited employment opportunities and the relatively low wages, some workers are expected to leave this occupation over the next few years, primarily for other clerical or administrative occupations.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2017-2026

This table contains data related to Projected Job Openings.
Level Share
Expansion Demand: 1,100 28%
Retirements: 2,400 60%
Other Replacement Demand: 300 8%
Emigration: 200 5%
Projected Job Openings: 4,000 100%
This table contains data related to Projected Job Seekers.
Level Share
School Leavers: 4,100 105%
Immigration: 1,100 28%
Other: -1,300 -33%
Projected Job Seekers: 3,900 100%
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