Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)
Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2015-2024)
Note: The projections were developed for 292 occupational groupings that cover the entire workforce, using the 2011 National Occupational Classification (NOC). For additional information on these groupings, please visit the COPS Occupational Groupings' Definition. For more information about the methodology used to assess each occupation, please click here.
Search Result : Letter carriers (1512)
- Occupational Outlook
- Occupations in this Group
- Letter carriers (1512)
- Skill Type
- Business, finance and administration occupations
- Skill Level
- Occupations usually require secondary school and/or occupation-specific training.
- Employment in 2014
- Median Age of workers in 2014
- 43.6 years old
- Estimated Median Age of Retirement in 2014
- 62 years old
In order to determine the expected outlook of an occupation, the magnitude of the difference between the projected total numbers of new job seekers and job openings over the whole projection period (2015-2024) is analyzed in conjunction with an assessment of labour market conditions in recent years. The intention is to determine if recent labour market conditions (surplus, balance or shortage) are expected to persist or change over the period 2015-2024. For instance, if the analysis of key labour market indicators suggests that the number of job seekers was insufficient to fill the job openings (a shortage of workers) in an occupational group in recent years, the projections are used to assess if this situation will continue over the projection period or if the occupation will move towards balanced conditions.
The analysis of key labour market indicators such as employment and wage growth as well as the unemployment rate suggests that the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill the job openings in this occupational group over the 2012-2014 period.
For Letter carriers, over the period 2015-2024, new job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 11,700, while 11,200 new job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill them.
As job openings and job seekers are projected to be at relatively similar levels over the 2015-2024 period, it is expected that the balance between labour supply and demand seen in recent years will continue over the projection period. A more detailed analysis of the outlook of this occupation will be released in the coming weeks.
Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2015-2024
|Other Replacement Demand:||900||8%|
|Projected Job Openings:||11,700||100%|
|Projected Job Seekers:||11,200||100%|