Figure 1 - Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
| |
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
| 2012-2021 |
1.5% |
2.1% |
0.4% |
1.8% |
1.8% |
| 2022-2031 |
2.0% |
1.3% |
2.0% |
1.1% |
2.2% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 1 - Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 2 - Employment Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
| |
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
| 2012-2021 |
0.9% |
-1.2% |
0.0% |
1.1% |
1.1% |
| 2022-2031 |
1.4% |
0.6% |
0.6% |
1.3% |
1.5% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 2 - Employment Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 3: Productivity Growth by Aggregate Sector* (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
| |
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
| 2012-2021 |
0.6% |
3.3% |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
| 2022-2031 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
1.4% |
-0.2% |
0.7% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 3: Productivity Growth by Aggregate Sector* (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 4 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
| |
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
| Employment Growth |
1.4% |
0.6% |
0.6% |
1.3% |
1.5% |
| Productivity Growth* |
0.6% |
0.7% |
1.4% |
-0.2% |
0.7% |
| Real GDP Growth |
2.0% |
1.3% |
2.0% |
1.1% |
2.2% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 4 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 5a - Distribution of Real GDP by Aggregate Sector (in percentage of total real GDP), 1998-2028The source is located after the table
| |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
| 2001 |
10.0% |
15.0% |
6.4% |
68.6% |
| 2002 |
9.7% |
14.7% |
6.5% |
69.0% |
| 2003 |
10.0% |
14.2% |
6.6% |
69.1% |
| 2004 |
10.2% |
14.1% |
6.7% |
69.0% |
| 2005 |
10.1% |
13.8% |
6.8% |
69.2% |
| 2006 |
10.0% |
13.2% |
6.9% |
69.8% |
| 2007 |
9.6% |
12.6% |
7.2% |
70.6% |
| 2008 |
9.6% |
11.9% |
7.3% |
71.3% |
| 2009 |
8.9% |
10.7% |
7.1% |
73.4% |
| 2010 |
9.2% |
10.7% |
7.4% |
72.6% |
| 2011 |
9.5% |
10.8% |
7.5% |
72.3% |
| 2012 |
9.2% |
10.7% |
7.9% |
72.2% |
| 2013 |
9.7% |
10.4% |
8.0% |
71.9% |
| 2014 |
9.8% |
10.4% |
8.0% |
71.7% |
| 2015 |
9.7% |
10.4% |
7.8% |
72.1% |
| 2016 |
9.7% |
10.3% |
7.3% |
72.7% |
| 2017 |
10.1% |
10.2% |
7.3% |
72.4% |
| 2018 |
10.2% |
10.2% |
7.3% |
72.3% |
| 2019 |
10.0% |
10.0% |
7.2% |
72.8% |
| 2020 |
10.1% |
9.5% |
7.4% |
73.0% |
| 2021 |
9.9% |
9.5% |
7.5% |
73.2% |
| 2022 |
9.7% |
9.6% |
7.5% |
73.2% |
| 2023 |
9.8% |
9.7% |
7.4% |
73.2% |
| 2024 |
9.8% |
9.7% |
7.2% |
73.3% |
| 2025 |
9.7% |
9.7% |
7.1% |
73.5% |
| 2026 |
9.6% |
9.6% |
7.0% |
73.7% |
| 2027 |
9.5% |
9.6% |
7.0% |
73.9% |
| 2028 |
9.5% |
9.6% |
7.0% |
74.0% |
| 2029 |
9.4% |
9.5% |
6.9% |
74.2% |
| 2030 |
9.3% |
9.5% |
6.9% |
74.3% |
| 2031 |
9.2% |
9.5% |
6.9% |
74.5% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Figure 5b - Percentage Distribution of Employment by Aggregate Sector (in percentage of total employment), 2001-2031The source is located after the table
| |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
| 2001 |
4.0% |
14.9% |
5.5% |
75.6% |
| 2002 |
3.9% |
15.0% |
5.6% |
75.5% |
| 2003 |
3.9% |
14.5% |
5.8% |
75.8% |
| 2004 |
3.8% |
14.4% |
6.0% |
75.8% |
| 2005 |
4.0% |
13.7% |
6.3% |
76.0% |
| 2006 |
4.1% |
12.8% |
6.5% |
76.5% |
| 2007 |
4.0% |
12.1% |
6.7% |
77.1% |
| 2008 |
3.9% |
11.4% |
7.3% |
77.4% |
| 2009 |
3.8% |
10.5% |
7.1% |
78.6% |
| 2010 |
3.7% |
10.2% |
7.3% |
78.8% |
| 2011 |
3.8% |
10.1% |
7.5% |
78.7% |
| 2012 |
3.9% |
10.1% |
7.6% |
78.5% |
| 2013 |
3.9% |
9.8% |
7.7% |
78.7% |
| 2014 |
3.8% |
9.6% |
7.7% |
78.9% |
| 2015 |
3.7% |
9.6% |
7.7% |
79.1% |
| 2016 |
3.4% |
9.5% |
7.7% |
79.4% |
| 2017 |
3.3% |
9.4% |
7.7% |
79.5% |
| 2018 |
3.4% |
9.4% |
7.8% |
79.5% |
| 2019 |
3.3% |
9.2% |
7.7% |
79.8% |
| 2020 |
3.3% |
9.3% |
7.6% |
79.8% |
| 2021 |
3.1% |
9.2% |
7.6% |
80.1% |
| 2022 |
3.0% |
8.8% |
7.7% |
80.5% |
| 2023 |
3% |
8.7% |
7.6% |
80.6% |
| 2024 |
3.0% |
8.7% |
7.5% |
80.7% |
| 2025 |
3.0% |
8.7% |
7.5% |
80.8% |
| 2026 |
3.0% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
80.9% |
| 2027 |
2.9% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
80.9% |
| 2028 |
2.9% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
81.0% |
| 2029 |
2.9% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
81.1% |
| 2030 |
2.8% |
8.5% |
7.5% |
81.1% |
| 2031 |
2.8% |
8.5% |
7.5% |
81.2% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 5 - Percentage Distribution of Real GDP and Employment by Aggregate Sector
Table 2A presents the employment levels and distribution in the top-three COPS industries in 2011, 2021 and 2031.
Table 2A: Employment in the Top-Three IndustriesThe source is located after the table
| |
Top-Three Industries |
Employment, in thousands |
Percentage share of total employment |
| 2011 |
Retail Trade |
2,045 |
11.9% |
| Health Care |
1,598 |
9.3% |
| Construction |
1,287 |
7.5% |
| 2021 |
Retail Trade |
2,185 |
11.6% |
| Health Care |
2,044 |
10.8% |
| Construction |
1,434 |
7.6% |
| 2031 (Projection) |
Health Care |
2,537 |
11.7% |
| Retail Trade |
2,352 |
10.8% |
| Construction |
1,626 |
7.5% |
Table 2B presents the employment levels and distribution in the bottom-three COPS industries in 2011, 2021 and 2031.
Table 2B: Employment in the Bottom-Three Industries
| |
Bottom-Three Industries |
Employment, in thousands |
Percentage share of total employment |
| 2011 |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
20 |
0.1% |
| Forestry and Logging |
47 |
0.3% |
| Paper Manufactuing |
74 |
0.4% |
| 2021 |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
17 |
0.1% |
| Forestry and Logging |
51 |
0.3% |
| Printing and Related Activities |
51 |
0.3% |
| 2031 (Projection) |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
16 |
0.1% |
| Forestry and Logging |
53 |
0.2% |
| Printing and Related Activities |
55 |
0.3% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Table 2 - Employment in the Top- and Bottom-Three Industries in Terms of Employment
Figure 6 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
| |
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
| Agriculture |
2.7% |
0.4% |
| Forestry/Logging |
0.4% |
0.8% |
| Fishing/Hunting/Trapping |
-0.5% |
-0.8% |
| Oil/Gas Extraction |
0.8% |
-1.0% |
| Mining |
0.9% |
1.1% |
| Support Activities for Mining/Oil/Gas Extraction |
2.9% |
2.6% |
| AVERAGE OF THE PRIMARY SECTOR |
1.3% |
0.6% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 6 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 7 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
| |
Support Activities for Mining/Oil/Gas |
Agriculture |
PRIMARY SECTOR AVERAGE |
Mining |
Oil and Gas Extraction |
Forestry and Logging |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
| Employment Growth |
2.6% |
0.4% |
0.6% |
1.1% |
-1.0% |
0.8% |
-0.8% |
| Productivity Growth* |
0.3% |
2.3% |
0.7% |
-0.2% |
1.8% |
-0.4% |
0.3% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 7 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 8 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
| |
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
| Food/Beverage |
1.8% |
1.0% |
| Textile/Clothing/Furniture |
2.2% |
0.3% |
| Wood Products |
1.2% |
-0.2% |
| Paper |
-0.4% |
-0.6% |
| Printing |
-0.2% |
0.3% |
| Primary Metals/Mineral Products |
2.2% |
0.6% |
| Chemicals |
2.1% |
0.5% |
| Plastics/Rubber |
3.0% |
1.6% |
| Fabricated Metals/Machinery |
1.7% |
0.3% |
| Computer/Electronic |
2.1% |
0.4% |
| Motor Vehicles/Trailers/Parts |
3.6% |
0.5% |
| Aerospace/Rail/Ship |
3.6% |
0.3% |
| Miscellaneous |
-0.8% |
1.8% |
| MANUFACTURING AVERAGE |
2.0% |
0.6% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 8 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 9 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
| |
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Productivity Growth* |
| Motor Vehicles, Trailers and Parts |
3.6% |
0.5% |
3.1% |
| Aerospace/Rail/Ship/Other Transp. Equip. |
3.6% |
0.3% |
3.3% |
| Plastics and Rubber Products |
3.0% |
1.6% |
1.4% |
| Primary Metals and Mineral Products |
2.2% |
0.6% |
1.6% |
| Textile, Clothing Leather and Furniture |
2.2% |
0.3% |
1.9% |
| Chemical Products |
2.1% |
0.5% |
1.6% |
| Computer, Electronic and Electrical Products |
2.1% |
0.4% |
1.7% |
| MANUFACTURING AVERAGE |
2.0% |
0.6% |
1.4% |
| Food and Beverage Products |
1.8% |
1.0% |
0.8% |
| Fabricated Metal Products and Machinery |
1.7% |
0.3% |
1.4% |
| Wood Product Manufacturing |
1.2% |
-0.2% |
1.4% |
| Printing and Related Activities |
-0.2% |
0.3% |
-0.5% |
| Paper Manufacturing |
-0.4% |
-0.6% |
0.2% |
| Miscellaneous Manufacturing |
-0.8% |
1.8% |
-2.6% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 9 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 10 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Comercial Services, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
| |
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
| Wholesale Trade |
1.8% |
0.7% |
| Retail Trade |
1.6% |
0.7% |
| Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation |
3.5% |
1.8% |
| Air, Rail, Water and Pipeline Transportation |
4.6% |
2.3% |
| Postal, Courier, Warehousing, Storage Services |
0.9% |
1.8% |
| Information, Culture and Telecommunications |
1.8% |
0.8% |
| Finance, Insurance and Real Estate (FIRE) |
2.6% |
1.4% |
| Legal, Accounting and Consulting Services |
2.0% |
1.7% |
| Computer Systems Design and Related Services |
3.0% |
2.4% |
| Architectural, Engineering, Design, R&D Services |
1.5% |
0.9% |
| Management, Administrative and Other Support |
2.3% |
2.0% |
| Arts, Entertainment and Recreation |
5.0% |
3.5% |
| Accommodation Services |
5.4% |
3.4% |
| Food Services |
3.9% |
2.3% |
| Repair, Personal and Household Services |
3.1% |
1.5% |
| Electric, Gas and Water Utilities |
1.6% |
0.8% |
| COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
2.5% |
1.5% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 10 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Comercial Services, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 11 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
| |
GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Productivity Growth* |
| Accommodation Services |
5.4% |
3.4% |
2.0% |
| Arts, Entertainment and Recreation |
5.0% |
3.5% |
1.5% |
| Air, Rail, Water and Pipeline Transportation |
4.6% |
2.3% |
2.3% |
| Food Services |
3.9% |
2.3% |
1.6% |
| Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation |
3.5% |
1.8% |
1.7% |
| Repair, Personal and Household Services |
3.1% |
1.5% |
1.6% |
| Computer Systems Design and Related Services |
3.0% |
2.4% |
0.6% |
| Finance, Insurance and Real Estate (FIRE) |
2.6% |
1.4% |
1.2% |
| COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
2.5% |
1.5% |
1.0% |
| Management, Administrative and Other Support |
2.3% |
2.0% |
0.3% |
| Legal, Accounting and Consulting Services |
2.0% |
1.7% |
0.3% |
| Wholesale Trade |
1.8% |
0.7% |
1.1% |
| Information, Culture and Telecommunications |
1.8% |
0.8% |
1.0% |
| Electric, Gas and Water Utilities |
1.6% |
0.8% |
0.8% |
| Retail Trade |
1.6% |
0.7% |
0.9% |
| Architectural, Engineering, Design, R&D Services |
1.5% |
0.9% |
0.6% |
| Postal, Courier, Warehousing, Storage Services |
0.9% |
1.8% |
-0.9% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 11 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Commercial Services, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 12 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Non-Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
| |
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
| Elementary and Secondary Schools |
1.0% |
0.6% |
| Colleges, CEGEPs and Vocational Schools |
2.3% |
2.9% |
| Universities |
1.7% |
1.0% |
| Health Care |
2.1% |
2.2% |
| Social Assistance |
1.9% |
1.4% |
| Public Administration |
0.9% |
1.1% |
| NON-COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
1.5% |
1.6 % |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 12 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Non-Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 13 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Non-Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
| |
Employment Growth |
Productivity Growth* |
Real GDP Growth |
| Colleges, CEGEPs and Vocational Schools |
2.9% |
-0.6% |
2.3% |
| Health Care |
2.2% |
-0.1% |
2.1% |
| Social Assistance |
1.4% |
0.5% |
1.9% |
| Universities |
1.0% |
0.7% |
1.7% |
| NON-COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
1.6% |
-0.1% |
1.5% |
| Elementary and Secondary Schools |
0.6% |
0.4% |
1.0% |
| Public Administration |
1.1% |
-0.2% |
0.9% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 13 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Non-Comercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 14 - Industries Projected to Post the Strongest Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
| |
Employment Growth |
| Arts, Entertainment and Recreation (concerts, sports) |
3.5% |
| Accommodation Services (hotels)* |
3.4% |
| Colleges, CEGEPs and Vocational Schools* |
2.9% |
| Support Activities for Mining, Oil and Gas Extraction |
2.6% |
| Computer System Design and Related Services |
2.4% |
| Food Services (restaurants, bars)* |
2.3% |
| Air, Rail and Water Transportation Services (travel, freight) |
2.3% |
| Health Care* |
2.2% |
| Management, Administration and Other Support Services |
2.0% |
| Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation Services |
1.85% |
| Postal, Courier, Warehousing, Storage Services |
1.8% |
| Miscellaneous Manuf. (including medical equipment) |
1.8% |
| Legal, Accounting, Consulting & Other Prof. Services* |
1.7% |
| Plastics and Rubber Products* |
1.6% |
| Repair, Personal and Household Services |
1.5% |
| ECONOMY AVERAGE |
1.4% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 14 - Industries Projected to Post the Strongest Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 15 - Industries Projected to Post Average or Moderate Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
| |
Employment Growth |
| ECONOMY AVERAGE |
1.4% |
| Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing Services* |
1.4% |
| Social Assistance* |
1.4% |
| Construction |
1.3% |
| Mining |
1.1% |
| Public Administration |
1.1% |
| Universities* |
1.0% |
| Food and Beverage Products |
1.0% |
| Architectural, Engineering, Design, R&D Services |
0.9% |
| Forestry and Logging |
0.8% |
| Information, Culture and Telecommunications Services* |
0.8% |
| Electric, Gas and Water Utilities |
0.8% |
| Retail Trade* |
0.7% |
| Wholesale Trade |
0.7% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 15 - Industries Projected to Post Average or Moderate Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 16 - Industries Projected to Post the Weakest Growth or Declines in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
| |
Employment Growth |
| ECONOMY AVERAGE |
1.4% |
| Elementary and Secondary Schools* |
0.6% |
| Primary Metals and Mineral Products |
0.6% |
| Chemical Products |
0.5% |
| Motor Vehicles, Trailer and Parts |
0.5% |
| Computer, Electronic and Electrical Products |
0.4% |
| Agriculture |
0.4% |
| Fabricated Metal Products and Machinery |
0.3% |
| Aerospace, Rail, Ship and Other Transp. Equip. |
0.3% |
| Printing and Related Activities |
0.3% |
| Textile, Clothing, Leather and Furniture |
0.3% |
| Wood Product Manufacturing |
-0.2% |
| Paper Manufacturing |
-0.6% |
| Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
-0.8% |
| Oil and Gas Extraction |
-1.0% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 16 - Industries Projected to Post the Weakest Growth or Declines in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 17 - Industries Projected to Post the Largest Increases in Employment, 2022-2031 (cumulative change, in thousands)
| |
Employment Growth |
| Health Care* |
493.1 |
| Food Services* |
208.0 |
| Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing Services* |
195.7 |
| Construction |
192.3 |
| Retail Trade* |
167.0 |
| Management, Administrative and Other Support Services |
154.5 |
| Computer System Design and Related Services |
143.3 |
| Arts, Entertainment and Recreation Services |
134.7 |
| Legal, Accounting, Consulting and Other Prof. Services* |
129.4 |
| Repair, Personal and Household Services* |
120.9 |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 17 - Industries Projected to Post the Largest Increases in Employment, 2022-2031 (cumulative change, in thousands)