Figure 1 - Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
|
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
2012-2021 |
1.5% |
2.1% |
0.4% |
1.8% |
1.8% |
2022-2031 |
2.0% |
1.3% |
2.0% |
1.1% |
2.2% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 1 - Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 2 - Employment Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
|
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
2012-2021 |
0.9% |
-1.2% |
0.0% |
1.1% |
1.1% |
2022-2031 |
1.4% |
0.6% |
0.6% |
1.3% |
1.5% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 2 - Employment Growth by Aggregate Sector over the Periods 2012-2021 and 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 3: Productivity Growth by Aggregate Sector* (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
|
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
2012-2021 |
0.6% |
3.3% |
0.4% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
2022-2031 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
1.4% |
-0.2% |
0.7% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 3: Productivity Growth by Aggregate Sector* (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 4 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)The source is located after the table
|
All Industries |
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
Employment Growth |
1.4% |
0.6% |
0.6% |
1.3% |
1.5% |
Productivity Growth* |
0.6% |
0.7% |
1.4% |
-0.2% |
0.7% |
Real GDP Growth |
2.0% |
1.3% |
2.0% |
1.1% |
2.2% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 4 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth by Aggregate Sector, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 5a - Distribution of Real GDP by Aggregate Sector (in percentage of total real GDP), 1998-2028The source is located after the table
|
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
2001 |
10.0% |
15.0% |
6.4% |
68.6% |
2002 |
9.7% |
14.7% |
6.5% |
69.0% |
2003 |
10.0% |
14.2% |
6.6% |
69.1% |
2004 |
10.2% |
14.1% |
6.7% |
69.0% |
2005 |
10.1% |
13.8% |
6.8% |
69.2% |
2006 |
10.0% |
13.2% |
6.9% |
69.8% |
2007 |
9.6% |
12.6% |
7.2% |
70.6% |
2008 |
9.6% |
11.9% |
7.3% |
71.3% |
2009 |
8.9% |
10.7% |
7.1% |
73.4% |
2010 |
9.2% |
10.7% |
7.4% |
72.6% |
2011 |
9.5% |
10.8% |
7.5% |
72.3% |
2012 |
9.2% |
10.7% |
7.9% |
72.2% |
2013 |
9.7% |
10.4% |
8.0% |
71.9% |
2014 |
9.8% |
10.4% |
8.0% |
71.7% |
2015 |
9.7% |
10.4% |
7.8% |
72.1% |
2016 |
9.7% |
10.3% |
7.3% |
72.7% |
2017 |
10.1% |
10.2% |
7.3% |
72.4% |
2018 |
10.2% |
10.2% |
7.3% |
72.3% |
2019 |
10.0% |
10.0% |
7.2% |
72.8% |
2020 |
10.1% |
9.5% |
7.4% |
73.0% |
2021 |
9.9% |
9.5% |
7.5% |
73.2% |
2022 |
9.7% |
9.6% |
7.5% |
73.2% |
2023 |
9.8% |
9.7% |
7.4% |
73.2% |
2024 |
9.8% |
9.7% |
7.2% |
73.3% |
2025 |
9.7% |
9.7% |
7.1% |
73.5% |
2026 |
9.6% |
9.6% |
7.0% |
73.7% |
2027 |
9.5% |
9.6% |
7.0% |
73.9% |
2028 |
9.5% |
9.6% |
7.0% |
74.0% |
2029 |
9.4% |
9.5% |
6.9% |
74.2% |
2030 |
9.3% |
9.5% |
6.9% |
74.3% |
2031 |
9.2% |
9.5% |
6.9% |
74.5% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Figure 5b - Percentage Distribution of Employment by Aggregate Sector (in percentage of total employment), 2001-2031The source is located after the table
|
Primary |
Manufacturing |
Construction |
Services |
2001 |
4.0% |
14.9% |
5.5% |
75.6% |
2002 |
3.9% |
15.0% |
5.6% |
75.5% |
2003 |
3.9% |
14.5% |
5.8% |
75.8% |
2004 |
3.8% |
14.4% |
6.0% |
75.8% |
2005 |
4.0% |
13.7% |
6.3% |
76.0% |
2006 |
4.1% |
12.8% |
6.5% |
76.5% |
2007 |
4.0% |
12.1% |
6.7% |
77.1% |
2008 |
3.9% |
11.4% |
7.3% |
77.4% |
2009 |
3.8% |
10.5% |
7.1% |
78.6% |
2010 |
3.7% |
10.2% |
7.3% |
78.8% |
2011 |
3.8% |
10.1% |
7.5% |
78.7% |
2012 |
3.9% |
10.1% |
7.6% |
78.5% |
2013 |
3.9% |
9.8% |
7.7% |
78.7% |
2014 |
3.8% |
9.6% |
7.7% |
78.9% |
2015 |
3.7% |
9.6% |
7.7% |
79.1% |
2016 |
3.4% |
9.5% |
7.7% |
79.4% |
2017 |
3.3% |
9.4% |
7.7% |
79.5% |
2018 |
3.4% |
9.4% |
7.8% |
79.5% |
2019 |
3.3% |
9.2% |
7.7% |
79.8% |
2020 |
3.3% |
9.3% |
7.6% |
79.8% |
2021 |
3.1% |
9.2% |
7.6% |
80.1% |
2022 |
3.0% |
8.8% |
7.7% |
80.5% |
2023 |
3% |
8.7% |
7.6% |
80.6% |
2024 |
3.0% |
8.7% |
7.5% |
80.7% |
2025 |
3.0% |
8.7% |
7.5% |
80.8% |
2026 |
3.0% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
80.9% |
2027 |
2.9% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
80.9% |
2028 |
2.9% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
81.0% |
2029 |
2.9% |
8.6% |
7.5% |
81.1% |
2030 |
2.8% |
8.5% |
7.5% |
81.1% |
2031 |
2.8% |
8.5% |
7.5% |
81.2% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 5 - Percentage Distribution of Real GDP and Employment by Aggregate Sector
Table 2A presents the employment levels and distribution in the top-three COPS industries in 2011, 2021 and 2031.
Table 2A: Employment in the Top-Three IndustriesThe source is located after the table
|
Top-Three Industries |
Employment, in thousands |
Percentage share of total employment |
2011 |
Retail Trade |
2,045 |
11.9% |
Health Care |
1,598 |
9.3% |
Construction |
1,287 |
7.5% |
2021 |
Retail Trade |
2,185 |
11.6% |
Health Care |
2,044 |
10.8% |
Construction |
1,434 |
7.6% |
2031 (Projection) |
Health Care |
2,537 |
11.7% |
Retail Trade |
2,352 |
10.8% |
Construction |
1,626 |
7.5% |
Table 2B presents the employment levels and distribution in the bottom-three COPS industries in 2011, 2021 and 2031.
Table 2B: Employment in the Bottom-Three Industries
|
Bottom-Three Industries |
Employment, in thousands |
Percentage share of total employment |
2011 |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
20 |
0.1% |
Forestry and Logging |
47 |
0.3% |
Paper Manufactuing |
74 |
0.4% |
2021 |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
17 |
0.1% |
Forestry and Logging |
51 |
0.3% |
Printing and Related Activities |
51 |
0.3% |
2031 (Projection) |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
16 |
0.1% |
Forestry and Logging |
53 |
0.2% |
Printing and Related Activities |
55 |
0.3% |
Sources: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Table 2 - Employment in the Top- and Bottom-Three Industries in Terms of Employment
Figure 6 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
|
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Agriculture |
2.7% |
0.4% |
Forestry/Logging |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Fishing/Hunting/Trapping |
-0.5% |
-0.8% |
Oil/Gas Extraction |
0.8% |
-1.0% |
Mining |
0.9% |
1.1% |
Support Activities for Mining/Oil/Gas Extraction |
2.9% |
2.6% |
AVERAGE OF THE PRIMARY SECTOR |
1.3% |
0.6% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 6 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 7 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
|
Support Activities for Mining/Oil/Gas |
Agriculture |
PRIMARY SECTOR AVERAGE |
Mining |
Oil and Gas Extraction |
Forestry and Logging |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
Employment Growth |
2.6% |
0.4% |
0.6% |
1.1% |
-1.0% |
0.8% |
-0.8% |
Productivity Growth* |
0.3% |
2.3% |
0.7% |
-0.2% |
1.8% |
-0.4% |
0.3% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 7 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Primary Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 8 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
|
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Food/Beverage |
1.8% |
1.0% |
Textile/Clothing/Furniture |
2.2% |
0.3% |
Wood Products |
1.2% |
-0.2% |
Paper |
-0.4% |
-0.6% |
Printing |
-0.2% |
0.3% |
Primary Metals/Mineral Products |
2.2% |
0.6% |
Chemicals |
2.1% |
0.5% |
Plastics/Rubber |
3.0% |
1.6% |
Fabricated Metals/Machinery |
1.7% |
0.3% |
Computer/Electronic |
2.1% |
0.4% |
Motor Vehicles/Trailers/Parts |
3.6% |
0.5% |
Aerospace/Rail/Ship |
3.6% |
0.3% |
Miscellaneous |
-0.8% |
1.8% |
MANUFACTURING AVERAGE |
2.0% |
0.6% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 8 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 9 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
|
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Productivity Growth* |
Motor Vehicles, Trailers and Parts |
3.6% |
0.5% |
3.1% |
Aerospace/Rail/Ship/Other Transp. Equip. |
3.6% |
0.3% |
3.3% |
Plastics and Rubber Products |
3.0% |
1.6% |
1.4% |
Primary Metals and Mineral Products |
2.2% |
0.6% |
1.6% |
Textile, Clothing Leather and Furniture |
2.2% |
0.3% |
1.9% |
Chemical Products |
2.1% |
0.5% |
1.6% |
Computer, Electronic and Electrical Products |
2.1% |
0.4% |
1.7% |
MANUFACTURING AVERAGE |
2.0% |
0.6% |
1.4% |
Food and Beverage Products |
1.8% |
1.0% |
0.8% |
Fabricated Metal Products and Machinery |
1.7% |
0.3% |
1.4% |
Wood Product Manufacturing |
1.2% |
-0.2% |
1.4% |
Printing and Related Activities |
-0.2% |
0.3% |
-0.5% |
Paper Manufacturing |
-0.4% |
-0.6% |
0.2% |
Miscellaneous Manufacturing |
-0.8% |
1.8% |
-2.6% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 9 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Manufacturing Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 10 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Comercial Services, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
|
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Wholesale Trade |
1.8% |
0.7% |
Retail Trade |
1.6% |
0.7% |
Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation |
3.5% |
1.8% |
Air, Rail, Water and Pipeline Transportation |
4.6% |
2.3% |
Postal, Courier, Warehousing, Storage Services |
0.9% |
1.8% |
Information, Culture and Telecommunications |
1.8% |
0.8% |
Finance, Insurance and Real Estate (FIRE) |
2.6% |
1.4% |
Legal, Accounting and Consulting Services |
2.0% |
1.7% |
Computer Systems Design and Related Services |
3.0% |
2.4% |
Architectural, Engineering, Design, R&D Services |
1.5% |
0.9% |
Management, Administrative and Other Support |
2.3% |
2.0% |
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation |
5.0% |
3.5% |
Accommodation Services |
5.4% |
3.4% |
Food Services |
3.9% |
2.3% |
Repair, Personal and Household Services |
3.1% |
1.5% |
Electric, Gas and Water Utilities |
1.6% |
0.8% |
COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
2.5% |
1.5% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 10 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Comercial Services, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 11 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
|
GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Productivity Growth* |
Accommodation Services |
5.4% |
3.4% |
2.0% |
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation |
5.0% |
3.5% |
1.5% |
Air, Rail, Water and Pipeline Transportation |
4.6% |
2.3% |
2.3% |
Food Services |
3.9% |
2.3% |
1.6% |
Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation |
3.5% |
1.8% |
1.7% |
Repair, Personal and Household Services |
3.1% |
1.5% |
1.6% |
Computer Systems Design and Related Services |
3.0% |
2.4% |
0.6% |
Finance, Insurance and Real Estate (FIRE) |
2.6% |
1.4% |
1.2% |
COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
2.5% |
1.5% |
1.0% |
Management, Administrative and Other Support |
2.3% |
2.0% |
0.3% |
Legal, Accounting and Consulting Services |
2.0% |
1.7% |
0.3% |
Wholesale Trade |
1.8% |
0.7% |
1.1% |
Information, Culture and Telecommunications |
1.8% |
0.8% |
1.0% |
Electric, Gas and Water Utilities |
1.6% |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Retail Trade |
1.6% |
0.7% |
0.9% |
Architectural, Engineering, Design, R&D Services |
1.5% |
0.9% |
0.6% |
Postal, Courier, Warehousing, Storage Services |
0.9% |
1.8% |
-0.9% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 11 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Commercial Services, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 12 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Non-Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Sorted from the highest to the lowest in terms of Real GDP GrowthThe source is located after the table
|
Real GDP Growth |
Employment Growth |
Elementary and Secondary Schools |
1.0% |
0.6% |
Colleges, CEGEPs and Vocational Schools |
2.3% |
2.9% |
Universities |
1.7% |
1.0% |
Health Care |
2.1% |
2.2% |
Social Assistance |
1.9% |
1.4% |
Public Administration |
0.9% |
1.1% |
NON-COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
1.5% |
1.6 % |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
* Note: In this document, the term productivity always refers to labour productivity.
Return at position of Figure 12 - Decomposition of Real GDP Growth: Non-Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 13 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Non-Commercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031The source is located after the table
|
Employment Growth |
Productivity Growth* |
Real GDP Growth |
Colleges, CEGEPs and Vocational Schools |
2.9% |
-0.6% |
2.3% |
Health Care |
2.2% |
-0.1% |
2.1% |
Social Assistance |
1.4% |
0.5% |
1.9% |
Universities |
1.0% |
0.7% |
1.7% |
NON-COMMERCIAL SERVICES AVERAGE |
1.6% |
-0.1% |
1.5% |
Elementary and Secondary Schools |
0.6% |
0.4% |
1.0% |
Public Administration |
1.1% |
-0.2% |
0.9% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
Return at position of Figure 13 - Real GDP and Employment Growth: Non-Comercial Services Industries, Projection 2022-2031
Figure 14 - Industries Projected to Post the Strongest Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
|
Employment Growth |
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation (concerts, sports) |
3.5% |
Accommodation Services (hotels)* |
3.4% |
Colleges, CEGEPs and Vocational Schools* |
2.9% |
Support Activities for Mining, Oil and Gas Extraction |
2.6% |
Computer System Design and Related Services |
2.4% |
Food Services (restaurants, bars)* |
2.3% |
Air, Rail and Water Transportation Services (travel, freight) |
2.3% |
Health Care* |
2.2% |
Management, Administration and Other Support Services |
2.0% |
Truck and Ground Passenger Transportation Services |
1.85% |
Postal, Courier, Warehousing, Storage Services |
1.8% |
Miscellaneous Manuf. (including medical equipment) |
1.8% |
Legal, Accounting, Consulting & Other Prof. Services* |
1.7% |
Plastics and Rubber Products* |
1.6% |
Repair, Personal and Household Services |
1.5% |
ECONOMY AVERAGE |
1.4% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 14 - Industries Projected to Post the Strongest Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 15 - Industries Projected to Post Average or Moderate Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
|
Employment Growth |
ECONOMY AVERAGE |
1.4% |
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing Services* |
1.4% |
Social Assistance* |
1.4% |
Construction |
1.3% |
Mining |
1.1% |
Public Administration |
1.1% |
Universities* |
1.0% |
Food and Beverage Products |
1.0% |
Architectural, Engineering, Design, R&D Services |
0.9% |
Forestry and Logging |
0.8% |
Information, Culture and Telecommunications Services* |
0.8% |
Electric, Gas and Water Utilities |
0.8% |
Retail Trade* |
0.7% |
Wholesale Trade |
0.7% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 15 - Industries Projected to Post Average or Moderate Growth in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 16 - Industries Projected to Post the Weakest Growth or Declines in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
|
Employment Growth |
ECONOMY AVERAGE |
1.4% |
Elementary and Secondary Schools* |
0.6% |
Primary Metals and Mineral Products |
0.6% |
Chemical Products |
0.5% |
Motor Vehicles, Trailer and Parts |
0.5% |
Computer, Electronic and Electrical Products |
0.4% |
Agriculture |
0.4% |
Fabricated Metal Products and Machinery |
0.3% |
Aerospace, Rail, Ship and Other Transp. Equip. |
0.3% |
Printing and Related Activities |
0.3% |
Textile, Clothing, Leather and Furniture |
0.3% |
Wood Product Manufacturing |
-0.2% |
Paper Manufacturing |
-0.6% |
Fishing, Hunting and Trapping |
-0.8% |
Oil and Gas Extraction |
-1.0% |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 16 - Industries Projected to Post the Weakest Growth or Declines in Employment, 2022-2031 (average annual growth, in percentage)
Figure 17 - Industries Projected to Post the Largest Increases in Employment, 2022-2031 (cumulative change, in thousands)
|
Employment Growth |
Health Care* |
493.1 |
Food Services* |
208.0 |
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing Services* |
195.7 |
Construction |
192.3 |
Retail Trade* |
167.0 |
Management, Administrative and Other Support Services |
154.5 |
Computer System Design and Related Services |
143.3 |
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation Services |
134.7 |
Legal, Accounting, Consulting and Other Prof. Services* |
129.4 |
Repair, Personal and Household Services* |
120.9 |
Source: ESDC 2022 COPS industrial outlook.
*industries with a majority of female workers (more than 50% in 2021).
Return at position of Figure 17 - Industries Projected to Post the Largest Increases in Employment, 2022-2031 (cumulative change, in thousands)