Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Imbalances Between Labour Demand and Supply (2019-2028)

Figure 1: Job Openings from Expansion and Replacement Demand by Skill Level, Projection 2019-2028 (in thousands)The source is located after the table
  Retirements Expansion Demand Other Replacement Demand
Management 469.6 104.9 102.0
Skill Level A (university education) 757.9 624.6 194.6
Skill Level B (college education) 1,310.7 569.0 315.4
Skill Level C (high school education) 981.7 280.6 248.5
Skill Level D (on-the-job training) 339.3 164.7 96.7

Source: ESDC 2019 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 1: Job Openings from Expansion and Replacement Demand by Skill Level, Projection 2019-2028 (in thousands)

Figure 2: Job Seekers by Skill Level, Projection 2019-2028 (in thousands)The source is located after the table
  School Leavers Immigrants Mobility Others Job seekers (%)
Management 55,532 145,715 497,838 -996 10.5%
Skill Level A 1,430,794 323,133 -198,006 -53,698 22.6%
Skill Level B 1,692,352 426,497 145,923 8,418 34.1%
Skill Level C 1,239,928 501,599 -241,170 38,459 23.1%
Skill Level D 525,238 299,337 -204,586 26,473 9.7%

Source: ESDC 2019 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 2: Job Seekers by Skill Level, Projection 2019-2028 (in thousands)

 

Figure 3: Projected Job Openings and Job Seekers by Skill Level over the Period 2019-2028, as Annual Average Percentage of 2018 Employment The source is located after the table
Skill Level Job Openings (%) Job Seekers (%)
Management Occupations 4.0% 4.1%
Skill Level A 4.2% 4.0%
Skill Level B 3.5% 3.6%
Skill Level C 3.1% 3.2%
Skill Level D 3.0% 3.3%

Source: ESDC 2019 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 3

Figure 4: Projected Job Openings and Job Seekers by Occupation over the Period 2019-2028 as Annual Average Percentage of 2018 Employment

Management Occupations

Management Occupations The source is located after the table
Occupational Code Job Openings (%) Job Seekers (%)
0010 5.6% 5.7%
0111 4.5% 4.9%
0112 4.8% 5.0%
0113 6.7% 7.0%
0121 4.7% 5.2%
0122 2.9% 3.0%
0124 3.7% 3.8%
0130 1.3% 1.4%
0211 4.2% 4.9%
0213 5.3% 6.2%
0311 6.5% 7.1%
0410 4.5% 4.5%
0421 5.4% 5.7%
0422 3.9% 3.9%
0423 6.6% 6.6%
0430 4.8% 5.5%
0510 3.9% 4.1%
0601 3.1% 3.2%
0621 3.5% 3.5%
0631 3.4% 3.3%
0632 6.7% 6.6%
0651 2.6% 2.9%
0711 3.2% 3.6%
0712 4.0% 3.9%
0714 3.5% 3.5%
0731 2.6% 2.4%
0811 5.5% 5.4%
0820 2.4% 2.4%
0910 3.6% 3.9%

Skill Level A: Occupations usually require university education.

Skill Level A Occupations The source is located after the table
Occupational Code Job Openings (%) Job Seekers (%)
1111 4.1% 4.1%
1112 3.8% 3.7%
1113 4.5% 4.6%
1114 4.2% 4.0%
1121 4.6% 4.6%
1122 5.0% 4.9%
1123 3.2% 3.0%
2110 3.8% 4.1%
2120 3.0% 3.0%
2131 3.5% 4.9%
2132 3.0% 3.4%
2133 3.3% 4.1%
2134 4.0% 6.1%
2141 2.7% 3.5%
2143 2.3% 4.7%
2146 4.2% 3.2%
2147 4.5% 5.3%
2151 3.7% 4.3%
2152 1.7% 1.4%
2161 2.7% 2.7%
2171 5.2% 4.6%
2172 5.0% 4.6%
2173 4.8% 4.2%
2174 3.8% 4.5%
2175 3.0% 3.9%
3011 7.8% 7.6%
3012 6.1% 4.9%
3111 6.7% 4.1%
3112 6.8% 2.6%
3113 4.6% 2.6%
3114 3.3% 3.6%
3120 5.9% 4.6%
3131 2.9% 3.8%
3132 3.8% 3.8%
3141 3.9% 2.9%
3142 4.8% 4.0%
3143 4.4% 3.6%
4011 3.7% 3.7%
4012 1.5% 1.1%
4021 3.6% 3.4%
4031 3.5% 3.7%
4032 3.0% 3.4%
4033 4.7% 4.9%
4110 4.3% 4.4%
4151 6.9% 6.1%
4152 3.7% 3.9%
4153 4.3% 4.2%
4154 5.5% 4.4%
4156 3.3% 3.2%
4161 3.6% 3.6%
4162 3.4% 3.5%
4164 4.4% 4.5%
4166 3.9% 3.8%
4168 3.6% 4.4%
5110 3.2% 3.4%
5121 2.9% 3.4%
5125 4.3% 4.3%
5131 3.2% 3.3%
5133 3.7% 3.3%

Skill Level B: Occupations usually require college or vocational education or apprenticeship training

Skill Level B Occupations The source is located after the table
Occupational Code Job Openings (%) Job Seekers (%)
1211 3.8% 3.9%
1212 5.2% 5.7%
1213 4.0% 4.1%
1221 4.8% 5.0%
1222 4.7% 4.9%
1223 3.6% 4.2%
1224 4.8% 5.6%
1225 4.3% 4.8%
1226 3.9% 5.2%
1227 4.8% 5.2%
1241 1.9% 1.6%
1242 4.3% 4.5%
1243 4.1% 3.6%
1250 3.0% 2.9%
1311 5.0% 4.9%
1312 3.0% 3.0%
2210 2.2% 1.7%
2221 2.2% 2.0%
2222 1.3% 1.4%
2225 4.4% 3.9%
2231 3.4% 3.7%
2232 4.2% 4.7%
2233 4.0% 4.2%
2234 3.5% 4.0%
2241 5.0% 4.7%
2242 3.9% 3.8%
2243 4.6% 4.6%
2250 2.1% 4.8%
2261 3.4% 4.0%
2264 4.4% 5.1%
2270 5.0% 3.2%
2281 3.3% 3.4%
2282 3.7% 3.9%
3211 4.1% 4.1%
3213 3.1% 5.5%
3214 4.2% 4.1%
3217 3.6% 3.8%
3220 3.6% 4.3%
3231 5.2% 4.6%
3232 4.7% 3.5%
3233 4.2% 3.5%
3234 3.0% 3.2%
4211 4.5% 4.3%
4212 5.1% 4.9%
4214 3.3% 3.1%
4215 3.2% 3.2%
4216 3.8% 3.5%
4311 3.2% 3.2%
4312 3.7% 3.7%
5210 3.4% 3.8%
5221 2.7% 3.0%
5222 2.3% 2.9%
5230 3.0% 3.4%
5241 3.2% 3.5%
5242 4.0% 4.2%
5243 4.1% 4.2%
5250 2.5% 2.7%
6211 3.2% 3.3%
6221 3.7% 3.9%
6222 4.2% 4.5%
6231 4.3% 4.9%
6232 5.4% 5.4%
6235 3.0% 3.1%
6311 2.9% 2.6%
6312 4.5% 4.7%
6321 4.0% 4.1%
6322 2.3% 2.4%
6331 3.4% 3.4%
6332 3.0% 3.0%
6341 2.5% 3.0%
6342 1.8% 2.0%
7201 3.6% 3.6%
7202 3.3% 3.5%
7203 2.7% 3.1%
7204 3.1% 3.0%
7205 3.4% 3.0%
7231 3.7% 3.9%
7233 2.5% 2.6%
7237 2.6% 2.9%
7241 2.5% 2.2%
7242 3.4% 3.4%
7244 2.4% 2.7%
7246 2.3% 2.7%
7251 2.1% 2.1%
7252 2.1% 2.3%
7271 1.9% 1.9%
7272 3.0% 7.3%
7281 2.4% 4.5%
7282 2.9% 3.4%
7284 1.6% 1.6%
7291 2.4% 3.7%
7292 1.1% 1.7%
7294 3.0% 2.6%
7295 2.5% 2.8%
7301 4.2% 4.1%
7302 3.4% 4.2%
7304 4.6% 4.0%
7311 3.8% 4.0%
7312 3.5% 3.7%
7313 3.3% 3.5%
7314 1.7% 2.0%
7321 3.1% 3.3%
7322 3.5% 3.6%
7330 2.5% 2.7%
7360 1.3% 2.2%
7370 3.1% 3.6%
7380 2.1% 2.5%
8211 1.4% 1.3%
8220 3.1% 2.8%
8231 3.1% 3.4%
8232 3.6% 4.0%
8241 3.4% 3.3%
8252 2.6% 2.6%
8260 1.1% 2.2%
9211 4.3% 5.0%
9213 3.3% 3.7%
9214 4.0% 4.1%
9220 4.6% 4.4%
9230 2.4% 3.2%
9240 3.7% 4.0%

Skill Level C: Occupations usually require secondary school and/or occupation-specific training.

Skill Level C Occupations The source is located after the table
Occupational Code Job Openings (%) Job Seekers (%)
1411 1.5% 1.5%
1414 2.1% 2.1%
1415 3.3% 3.4%
1422 0.2% 1.3%
1431 2.4% 2.6%
1432 4.1% 3.6%
1434 1.2% 1.5%
1450 2.2% 2.3%
1511 4.5% 4.5%
1512 1.4% 1.5%
1513 3.4% 2.9%
1521 2.8% 3.1%
1522 2.8% 3.1%
1525 3.3% 3.1%
3411 3.6% 4.4%
3413 5.6% 5.7%
4411 0.6% 0.1%
4412 3.9% 4.0%
4413 4.1% 4.2%
4420 3.2% 3.2%
6411 4.0% 3.9%
6421 2.2% 2.1%
6511 2.9% 3.0%
6512 1.1% 1.2%
6513 2.0% 1.9%
6521 0.6% 0.1%
6522 3.8% 3.4%
6523 2.8% 2.7%
6525 2.8% 2.9%
6530 2.4% 1.9%
6541 4.1% 4.3%
6551 1.5% 1.4%
6552 3.6% 4.5%
6561 2.5% 2.5%
6562 2.8% 2.8%
7441 2.6% 2.9%
7442 4.1% 4.6%
7450 2.9% 3.3%
7511 3.8% 3.0%
7512 5.2% 5.3%
7513 4.4% 4.5%
7514 3.7% 3.9%
7521 3.3% 3.5%
7522 3.3% 2.7%
7530 3.0% 2.6%
8410 1.7% 3.0%
8420 3.2% 2.7%
8431 1.9% 2.1%
8432 1.2% 2.2%
8440 -0.2% 2.6%
9410 3.6% 4.0%
9420 3.7% 3.6%
9431 3.4% 3.4%
9432 1.8% 1.9%
9441 3.0% 2.7%
9446 3.6% 3.6%
9461 2.8% 2.8%
9462 3.3% 3.4%
9463 2.7% 0.5%
9470 1.6% 1.5%
9521 3.1% 3.3%
9523 3.7% 4.2%
9524 3.7% 4.2%
9531 4.4% 5.5%
9532 3.1% 3.6%

Skill Level D: On-the-job training is usually provided for occupations.

Skill Level D Occupations The source is located after the table
Occupational Code Job Openings (%) Job Seekers (%)
6611 2.5% 2.8%
6621 1.3% 1.2%
6622 2.8% 3.1%
6623 4.1% 4.6%
6711 2.6% 3.3%
6720 2.6% 2.8%
6731 4.4% 4.4%
6732 3.1% 3.2%
6733 4.3% 4.1%
6740 3.6% 3.6%
7610 2.4% 2.4%
7620 3.3% 3.4%
8611 2.1% 1.8%
8612 2.7% 2.8%
8614 1.6% 2.6%
9611 3.5% 4.1%
9613 3.0% 2.8%
9614 2.0% 2.2%
9616 1.8% 1.5%
9617 2.8% 2.9%

Source: ESDC 2019 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 4: Projected Job Openings and Job Seekers by Skill Level over the Period 2019-2028, as Annual Average Percentage of 2018 Employment

 

Figure 5: Example of an occupation projected to face shortage conditions: General practitioners and family physicians (NOC 3112) The source is located after the table
General practitioners and family physicians (NOC 3112)
Projected Job Openings Projected Job Seekers
Expansion Demand 28,208 School Leavers 16,169
Retirements 17,606 Immigration 6,071
Deaths 3,191 Mobility and Others -2,864
Emigration 1,908    

Source: ESDC 2019 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 5: Example of an occupation projected to face shortage conditions: General practitioners and family physicians (NOC 3112)

 

Figure 6: Example of an occupation projected to face surplus conditions: Civil engineers (NOC 2131) The source is located after the table
Civil engineers (NOC 2131)
Projected Job Openings Projected Job Seekers
Expansion Demand 6,169 School Leavers 30,077
Retirements 10,029 Immigration 9,669
Deaths 1,438 Mobility and Others -13,283
Emigration 1,236    

Source: ESDC 2019 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 6: Example of an occupation projected to face surplus conditions: Civil engineers (NOC 2131)

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