Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Projected inflows and outflows of the labour market, 2022-2031

Unemployed 2021	1,523,000
Retirement	3,897,900
New Job Growth	2,841,600
Death and Emigrants	560,000
New Job Openings	7,736,000
School lLeavers	5,476,000
Immigrants	2,365,400
Others	-475,800
New Net Job Seekers	7,365,600
Unemployed 2031	1,152,700

Source: Statistics Canada (historical) and ESDC 2022 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 1: Projected inflows and outflows of the labour market, 2022-2031

Figure 2: Job Openings from Expansion and Replacement Demand by Skill Level, Projection 2022-2031 (in thousands)The source is located after the table

	Retirements	Expansion Demand	Other Replacement Demand
Management occupations	483.3	182.4	101.3
Occupations that usually require university education	770.8	813.4	220.5
Occupations that usually require college/apprenticeship education	1,354.1	1,026.9	333.8
Occupations that usually require high school education	975.0	562.5	249.9
Occupations that usually require on-the-job training	314.3	256.4	90.9

Source: ESDC 2022 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 2: Job Openings from Expansion and Replacement Demand by Skill Level, Projection 2022-2031 (in thousands)

Figure 3: Job Seekers by Skill Level, Projection 2022-2031 (in thousands)The source is located after the table

	School Leavers	Immigrants	Mobility	Others	Job seekers (%)
Management occupations	73.5	203.2	514.8	-60.7	9.9%
Occupations that usually require university education	1,723.2	450.6	-224.5	-120.5	24.8%
Occupations that usually require college/apprenticeship education	1,914.7	594.7	292.6	-191.5	35.4%
Occupations that usually require high school education	1,266.9	699.4	-258.5	107.2	21.7%
Occupations that usually require on-the-job training	497.7	417.4	-324.4	4.0	8.1%

Source: ESDC 2022 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 3: Job Seekers by Skill Level, Projection 2022-2031 (in thousands)

Figure 4: Projected Job Openings and Job Seekers by Occupation over the Period 2022-2031 as Annual Average Percentage of 2021 Employment

Management Occupations The source is located after the table

Occupational Code	Job Openings (%)	Job Seekers (%)
0010	5.7%	5.6%
0111	4.5%	4%
0112	4.5%	5.2%
0113	4.9%	4.5%
0121	4.3%	4.8%
0122	4.1%	3.9%
0124	4.4%	4.1%
0130	2.8%	2.4%
0211	5.3%	6.7%
0213	5.9%	7.4%
0311	5.4%	5.7%
0410	5.1%	5.1%
0421	4.5%	4.3%
0422	3.8%	3.9%
0423	5.9%	6.2%
0510	7.7%	7.7%
0601	3.6%	3.0%
0621	3.9%	3.3%
0631	3.7%	3.1%
0632	8.1%	7.2%
0651	4.8%	4.6%
0711	4.2%	5.0%
0712	5.2%	4.4%
0714	3.7%	3.2%
0731	5.3%	3.6%
0811	2.3%	2.6%
0820	4.6%	4.3%
0910	3.6%	4.1%

Occupations usually require university education The source is located after the table

Occupational Code	Job Openings (%)	Job Seekers (%)
1111	4.0%	3.6%
1112	3.2%	4.0%
1113	3.3%	2.8%
1114	4.3%	4.0%
1121	3.5%	3.3%
1122	5.9%	5.5%
1123	3.7%	3.3%
2110	3.2%	3.0%
2120	3.3%	2.8%
2131	3.9%	4.8%
2132	2.7%	3.3%
2133	3.0%	3.3%
2134	2.1%	2.2%
2141	1.5%	1.7%
2143	2.6%	3.3%
2146	4.0%	5.0%
2147	4.6%	5.2%
2151	3.0%	3.1%
2152	1.7%	1.7%
2161	3.2%	1.9%
2171	5.0%	5.5%
2172	4.3%	4.8%
2173	4.2%	4.6%
2174	3.6%	4.1%
2175	2.9%	3.6%
3011	7.8%	7.3%
3012	4.8%	4.4%
3111	6.6%	5.3%
3112	6.1%	3.6%
3113	5.6%	4.3%
3114	3.9%	3.4%
3120	4.3%	4.1%
3131	3.7%	4.7%
3132	2.4%	2.5%
3141	3.8%	3.7%
3142	4.7%	4.6%
3143	2.5%	2.1%
4011	4.7%	4.7%
4012	2.4%	2.2%
4021	6.1%	5.7%
4031	3.1%	2.8%
4032	3.4%	3.0%
4033	6.3%	4.6%
4110	3.6%	4.6%
4151	6.8%	6.7%
4152	3.3%	3.0%
4153	4.1%	3.9%
4154	4.8%	4.0%
4156	3.5%	2.9%
4161	4.4%	2.2%
4162	3.2%	3.4%
4164	4.8%	4.5%
4166	4.7%	3.9%
4168	2.9%	2.9%
5110	3.0%	2.8%
5121	4.5%	3.7%
5125	4.4%	4.2%
5131	3.2%	2.7%
5133	6.6%	5.5%

Occupations usually require college or vocational education or apprenticeship training The source is located after the table

Occupational Code	Job Openings (%)	Job Seekers (%)
1211	4.6%	3.9%
1212	5.8%	5.7%
1213	4.8%	4.1%
1221	4.9%	4.4%
1222	5.4%	4.9%
1223	3.0%	3.7%
1224	4.3%	4.1%
1225	5.4%	5.5%
1226	6.1%	6.4%
1227	5.4%	5.8%
1241	3.0%	2.5%
1242	3.5%	3.6%
1243	4.5%	4.0%
1250	4.3%	4.3%
1311	5.7%	5.2%
1312	3.6%	3.0%
2210	3.1%	3.6%
2221	2.7%	2.4%
2222	1.9%	1.8%
2225	5.2%	5.5%
2231	2.4%	2.8%
2232	4.1%	3.9%
2233	4.7%	4.7%
2234	4.3%	4.3%
2241	4.6%	4.2%
2242	4.8%	4.2%
2243	3.7%	3.8%
2250	1.9%	3.4%
2261	4.1%	4.1%
2264	4.4%	3.6%
2270	5.5%	3.6%
2281	3.3%	3.7%
2282	4.1%	4.3%
3211	5.0%	4.6%
3213	3.4%	7.5%
3214	4.3%	4.1%
3217	4.0%	4.0%
3220	2.7%	4.2%
3231	4.8%	4.6%
3232	5.4%	4.2%
3233	3.9%	3.7%
3234	4.5%	4.8%
4211	4.6%	5.0%
4212	3.9%	3.4%
4214	4.7%	4.0%
4215	2.6%	2.1%
4216	5.5%	4.8%
4311	4.8%	4.5%
4312	4.5%	3.8%
5210	2.9%	2.7%
5221	3.6%	3.0%
5222	3.3%	2.7%
5230	3.8%	3.7%
5241	3.2%	3.8%
5242	4.0%	3.4%
5243	5.1%	4.5%
5250	5.4%	4.5%
6211	4.1%	3.7%
6221	4.7%	4.3%
6222	5.2%	5.3%
6231	4.5%	5.6%
6232	4.9%	4.1%
6235	3.9%	4.2%
6311	4.6%	6.2%
6312	5.9%	5.7%
6321	6.8%	9.0%
6322	4.5%	5.8%
6331	2.8%	3.4%
6332	4.0%	3.6%
6341	4.9%	4.1%
6342	2.4%	2.5%
7201	5.2%	5.7%
7202	4.5%	4.4%
7203	5.0%	5.0%
7204	4.4%	4.4%
7205	3.2%	2.5%
7231	3.0%	2.6%
7233	2.8%	3.2%
7237	2.2%	2.1%
7241	4.5%	3.7%
7242	4.3%	3.8%
7244	3.3%	3.3%
7246	3.2%	2.7%
7251	2.3%	1.9%
7252	3.2%	3.7%
7271	3.0%	2.6%
7281	2.0%	2.3%
7282	3.4%	3.1%
7284	3.4%	2.9%
7291	3.1%	2.9%
7292	4.2%	3.9%
7294	4.3%	4.2%
7295	4.1%	3.5%
7301	5.1%	4.5%
7302	4.5%	4.6%
7304	5.5%	5.2%
7311	3.8%	3.6%
7312	3.7%	3.3%
7313	3.7%	3.8%
7314	3.8%	2.7%
7321	4.2%	3.5%
7322	3.0%	2.6%
7330	4.3%	5.6%
7360	4.5%	4.0%
7370	4.2%	4.1%
7380	4.0%	3.8%
8211	4.5%	4.6%
8220	4.7%	4.3%
8231	6.0%	5.6%
8232	4.0%	4.4%
8241	5.6%	5.7%
8252	5.6%	4.0%
8260	2.8%	3.2%
9211	4.9%	5.7%
9213	4.9%	5.0%
9214	5.2%	5.2%
9220	5.0%	4.1%
9230	2.7%	3.2%
9240	3.3%	4.2%

Occupations usually require secondary school and/or occupation-specific training The source is located after the table

Occupational Code	Job Openings (%)	Job Seekers (%)
1411	2.5%	2.1%
1414	2.8%	2.3%
1415	2.8%	2.8%
1422	3.0%	3.0%
1431	3.8%	3.4%
1432	5.0%	4.9%
1434	3.1%	3.1%
1450	2.2%	2.2%
1511	4.8%	5.1%
1512	4.2%	3.8%
1513	4.0%	3.3%
1521	3.5%	3.2%
1522	4.2%	3.6%
1525	4.4%	3.7%
3411	3.8%	4.6%
3413	5.5%	4.9%
4411	4.1%	3.9%
4412	5.1%	5.0%
4413	3.2%	2.9%
4420	4.6%	4.6%
6411	3.8%	3.3%
6421	2.8%	3.2%
6511	5.2%	4.5%
6512	5.2%	4.6%
6513	4.1%	4.7%
6523	7.8%	6.9%
6525	4.5%	4.1%
6530	8.2%	6.8%
6541	3.8%	3.2%
6551	2.4%	2.0%
6552	3.0%	2.7%
6561	4.0%	3.3%
6562	4.0%	3.3%
7441	3.0%	3.1%
7442	3.1%	3.1%
7450	3.5%	2.9%
7511	5.1%	4.6%
7512	6.5%	6.1%
7513	5.9%	5.0%
7514	4.6%	4.4%
7521	3.7%	3.6%
7522	4.1%	3.9%
7530	2.9%	2.5%
8410	3.1%	3.6%
8420	2.1%	1.8%
8431	2.4%	2.0%
8432	3.7%	4.1%
8440	2.1%	2.2%
9410	3.4%	2.9%
9420	4.5%	4.0%
9431	2.7%	2.3%
9432	1.6%	1.4%
9441	3.3%	3.1%
9446	3.8%	4.0%
9461	3.0%	2.7%
9462	3.0%	2.3%
9463	4.5%	5.0%
9470	2.8%	3.1%
9521	3.3%	2.0%
9523	4.5%	4.4%
9524	4.0%	3.5%
9531	4.5%	4.0%
9532	3.3%	4.1%

On-the-job training is usually provided for occupations The source is located after the table

Occupational Code	Job Openings (%)	Job Seekers (%)
6611	2.5%	2.1%
6622	3.0%	2.5%
6623	6.2%	5.8%
6711	3.3%	4.1%
6720	5.8%	4.8%
6731	5.7%	5.1%
6732	3.6%	3.1%
6733	5.1%	4.5%
6740	4.0%	3.4%
7610	1.8%	1.6%
7620	4.1%	4.0%
8611	2.8%	0.5%
8612	5.0%	5.8%
8614	1.4%	1.6%
9611	3.9%	5.3%
9613	3.6%	4.4%
9614	1.0%	1.2%
9616	3.5%	3.5%
9617	4.1%	3.6%

Source: ESDC 2022 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 4: Projected Job Openings and Job Seekers by Skill Level over the Period 2022-2031, as Annual Average Percentage of 2021 Employment

 

Figure 5: Example of an occupation projected to face shortage conditions: General practitioners and family physicians (NOC 3112) The source is located after the table

General practitioners and family physicians (NOC 3112)
Projected Job Openings		Projected Job Seekers
Expansion Demand	26,100	School Leavers	22,600
Retirements	18,300	Immigration	8,500
Deaths	2,600	Mobility and Others	-1,600
Emigration	1,900

Source: ESDC 2022 COPS Projections.

Return at position of Figure 5: Example of an occupation projected to face shortage conditions: General practitioners and family physicians (NOC 3112)